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Richard H. Moss, Jae A. Edmonds, Kathy A. Hibbard, Martin R. Manning, Steven K. Rose: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. In: Nature. Band463, Nr.7282, Februar 2010, ISSN0028-0836, S.747–756, doi:10.1038/nature08823 (nature.com).
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jae Edmonds, Mikiko Kainuma, Keywan Riahi, Allison Thomson: The representative concentration pathways: an overview. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.5–31, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z (springer.com).
Christopher R. Schwalm, Spencer Glendon, Philip B. Duffy: RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 3. August 2020, doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117.
Keywan Riahi, Shilpa Rao, Volker Krey, Cheolhung Cho, Vadim Chirkov: RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.33–57, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y (springer.com [abgerufen am 21. Oktober 2021]).
Zeke Hausfather, Glen P. Peters: Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading. In: Nature. Band577, 29. Januar 2020, S.618–620, doi:10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3: „We must all — from physical scientists and climate-impact modellers to communicators and policymakers — stop presenting the worst-case scenario as the most likely one. Overstating the likelihood of extreme climate impacts can make mitigation seem harder than it actually is. This could lead to defeatism, because the problem is perceived as being out of control and unsolvable. […] Emission pathways to get to RCP8.5 generally require an unprecedented fivefold increase in coal use by the end of the century, an amount larger than some estimates of recoverable coal reserves.“
David Rutledge: Estimating long-term world coal production with logit and probit transforms. In: International Journal of Coal Geology. Band85, Nr.1. Elsevier, Januar 2011, S.23–33, doi:10.1016/j.coal.2010.10.012 (online [abgerufen am 24. August 2021]): „The maximum cumulative production through 2100 is 3500 Gt for the IPCC's A1C AIM scenario (Volkers, 2000). This is five times the estimate for long-term production given here. In addition, production is still rising in this scenario in 2100, so the eventual implied production would be even larger.“
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Christopher Lyon, Erin E. Saupe, Christopher J. Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Lindsay C. Stringer, Robert Marchant, James McKay, Ariane Burke, Paul O’Higgins, Alexander M. Dunhill, Bethany J. Allen, Julien Riel-Salvatore, Tracy Aze: Climate change research and action must look beyond 2100. In: Global Change Biology. n/a. Jahrgang, n/a, 2021, ISSN1365-2486, doi:10.1111/gcb.15871, PMID 34558764 (englisch).
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aspofrance.files.wordpress.com
Jean Laherrère: Are there enough fossil fuels to generate the IPCC CO2 baseline scenario? ASPO France, 30. August 2019, abgerufen am 7. November 2021: „In the last IPCC report AR5 the” baseline” RCP8.5 […] assumes a cumulative CO2 emission from fossil fuels 4 times what is considered as the most probable and in 2100 an annual FF production 7 times the most probable: it is completely unrealistic. […] Only RCP4.5 is close to the most probable FF production.“
nature.com
Richard H. Moss, Jae A. Edmonds, Kathy A. Hibbard, Martin R. Manning, Steven K. Rose: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. In: Nature. Band463, Nr.7282, Februar 2010, ISSN0028-0836, S.747–756, doi:10.1038/nature08823 (nature.com).
nih.gov
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Christopher Lyon, Erin E. Saupe, Christopher J. Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Lindsay C. Stringer, Robert Marchant, James McKay, Ariane Burke, Paul O’Higgins, Alexander M. Dunhill, Bethany J. Allen, Julien Riel-Salvatore, Tracy Aze: Climate change research and action must look beyond 2100. In: Global Change Biology. n/a. Jahrgang, n/a, 2021, ISSN1365-2486, doi:10.1111/gcb.15871, PMID 34558764 (englisch).
sciencedirect.com
David Rutledge: Estimating long-term world coal production with logit and probit transforms. In: International Journal of Coal Geology. Band85, Nr.1. Elsevier, Januar 2011, S.23–33, doi:10.1016/j.coal.2010.10.012 (online [abgerufen am 24. August 2021]): „The maximum cumulative production through 2100 is 3500 Gt for the IPCC's A1C AIM scenario (Volkers, 2000). This is five times the estimate for long-term production given here. In addition, production is still rising in this scenario in 2100, so the eventual implied production would be even larger.“
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jae Edmonds, Mikiko Kainuma, Keywan Riahi, Allison Thomson: The representative concentration pathways: an overview. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.5–31, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z (springer.com).
Keywan Riahi, Shilpa Rao, Volker Krey, Cheolhung Cho, Vadim Chirkov: RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.33–57, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y (springer.com [abgerufen am 21. Oktober 2021]).
zdb-katalog.de
Richard H. Moss, Jae A. Edmonds, Kathy A. Hibbard, Martin R. Manning, Steven K. Rose: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. In: Nature. Band463, Nr.7282, Februar 2010, ISSN0028-0836, S.747–756, doi:10.1038/nature08823 (nature.com).
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jae Edmonds, Mikiko Kainuma, Keywan Riahi, Allison Thomson: The representative concentration pathways: an overview. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.5–31, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z (springer.com).
Keywan Riahi, Shilpa Rao, Volker Krey, Cheolhung Cho, Vadim Chirkov: RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. In: Climatic Change. Band109, Nr.1-2, November 2011, ISSN0165-0009, S.33–57, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y (springer.com [abgerufen am 21. Oktober 2021]).
Christopher Lyon, Erin E. Saupe, Christopher J. Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Lindsay C. Stringer, Robert Marchant, James McKay, Ariane Burke, Paul O’Higgins, Alexander M. Dunhill, Bethany J. Allen, Julien Riel-Salvatore, Tracy Aze: Climate change research and action must look beyond 2100. In: Global Change Biology. n/a. Jahrgang, n/a, 2021, ISSN1365-2486, doi:10.1111/gcb.15871, PMID 34558764 (englisch).
