Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "Legalized abortion and crime effect" in English language version.
Based on an analysis of the past findings, it is possible that some portion of the decline in 1990s could be attributed to the legalization of abortion. However, there is also robust research criticizing this theory.
As Tables 3 and 4 show, we do not find evidence supporting the hypothesis that abortion rates decrease crime rates as Donohue and Levitt(2001) find for the United States. Most of the point estimates have a positive sign (which is the 'wrong sign') and are not precisely estimated.
A summary of the results is as follows: (a) DL's conclusions about abortion apply much more to teenagers than adult women, who now account for more than 80% of U.S. abortions, (b) the odds of a child from an unwanted pregnancy becoming a criminal decline rapidly as the mother's age and education increase, (c) half of all abortions have virtually no effect on crime, (d) unwantedness affects crime no more than mothers who smoke and is insignificant based on U.S. data, and (e) with teenage abortion rates declining from 43.5 in 1988 to 22.5 in 2001, it is likely that all of DL's panel-data models were outdated when published. In short, three million teenagers had abortions in the 1970s and crime fell in the 1990s, the second possibly related to the first. If the two are related, it is due to three million fewer teenage mothers, not less unwantedness.
A summary of the results is as follows: (a) DL's conclusions about abortion apply much more to teenagers than adult women, who now account for more than 80% of U.S. abortions, (b) the odds of a child from an unwanted pregnancy becoming a criminal decline rapidly as the mother's age and education increase, (c) half of all abortions have virtually no effect on crime, (d) unwantedness affects crime no more than mothers who smoke and is insignificant based on U.S. data, and (e) with teenage abortion rates declining from 43.5 in 1988 to 22.5 in 2001, it is likely that all of DL's panel-data models were outdated when published. In short, three million teenagers had abortions in the 1970s and crime fell in the 1990s, the second possibly related to the first. If the two are related, it is due to three million fewer teenage mothers, not less unwantedness.
A summary of the results is as follows: (a) DL's conclusions about abortion apply much more to teenagers than adult women, who now account for more than 80% of U.S. abortions, (b) the odds of a child from an unwanted pregnancy becoming a criminal decline rapidly as the mother's age and education increase, (c) half of all abortions have virtually no effect on crime, (d) unwantedness affects crime no more than mothers who smoke and is insignificant based on U.S. data, and (e) with teenage abortion rates declining from 43.5 in 1988 to 22.5 in 2001, it is likely that all of DL's panel-data models were outdated when published. In short, three million teenagers had abortions in the 1970s and crime fell in the 1990s, the second possibly related to the first. If the two are related, it is due to three million fewer teenage mothers, not less unwantedness.
As Tables 3 and 4 show, we do not find evidence supporting the hypothesis that abortion rates decrease crime rates as Donohue and Levitt(2001) find for the United States. Most of the point estimates have a positive sign (which is the 'wrong sign') and are not precisely estimated.
Based on an analysis of the past findings, it is possible that some portion of the decline in 1990s could be attributed to the legalization of abortion. However, there is also robust research criticizing this theory.
As Tables 3 and 4 show, we do not find evidence supporting the hypothesis that abortion rates decrease crime rates as Donohue and Levitt(2001) find for the United States. Most of the point estimates have a positive sign (which is the 'wrong sign') and are not precisely estimated.
Based on an analysis of the past findings, it is possible that some portion of the decline in 1990s could be attributed to the legalization of abortion. However, there is also robust research criticizing this theory.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) CS1 maint: others (link)Based on an analysis of the past findings, it is possible that some portion of the decline in 1990s could be attributed to the legalization of abortion. However, there is also robust research criticizing this theory.
While the data from some countries are consistent with the DL hypothesis (e.g. Canada, France, Italy), several countries' data show the opposite correlation (e.g. Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Poland). In other cases crime was falling before legalization and does not decline any more quickly (twenty years) after legalization (e.g. Japan, Norway).
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: others (link)A summary of the results is as follows: (a) DL's conclusions about abortion apply much more to teenagers than adult women, who now account for more than 80% of U.S. abortions, (b) the odds of a child from an unwanted pregnancy becoming a criminal decline rapidly as the mother's age and education increase, (c) half of all abortions have virtually no effect on crime, (d) unwantedness affects crime no more than mothers who smoke and is insignificant based on U.S. data, and (e) with teenage abortion rates declining from 43.5 in 1988 to 22.5 in 2001, it is likely that all of DL's panel-data models were outdated when published. In short, three million teenagers had abortions in the 1970s and crime fell in the 1990s, the second possibly related to the first. If the two are related, it is due to three million fewer teenage mothers, not less unwantedness.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) CS1 maint: others (link)While the data from some countries are consistent with the DL hypothesis (e.g. Canada, France, Italy), several countries' data show the opposite correlation (e.g. Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Poland). In other cases crime was falling before legalization and does not decline any more quickly (twenty years) after legalization (e.g. Japan, Norway).
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: others (link)