Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "Olduvai theory" in English language version.
The population of the less developed world has grown by two-thirds since 1950 and was poor in 1950. The need for a fundamental change in the ratio of resources to people in poor countries can, by itself, justify an optimal world population figure of one billion. Barring a catastrophe, it could take centuries to reach such figures, even with a determined global effort.
It reminds me of those years when nobody wanted to listen to scientists talking about global warming. At that time we predicted events with a lot of attachment to the way they happened. Then as now, we wondered what it would take to get people to listen. It's not a conspiracy: it's institutional denial.
Currently, Fresco calls himself things like "social engineer" (it is not a degree, it is a qualification that he gives himself), "futuristic designer", "architectural designer" (avoiding calling you "architect", eh, Jacque?), "conceptual artist", "educator" and he also calls himself the closest thing to a degree that he has been able to find without being denounced by any professional association: "industrial designer". And I say "without being denounced" because Fresco has had, as the swindler that he is, numerous problems with various professional associations of all kinds, since he has tried to pass himself off on many occasions as what he is not, and has been forced to use increasingly "neutral" and "aseptic" terms when referring to his "training" or "profession".
Leslie A. White formulates the "Basic Law of Evolution" in which he emphasizes the levels of energy use as determinants of cultural evolution. [...] As long as other factors are held constant, culture evolves as the amount of energy available per head per year grows, or as the efficiency of the means of making that energy work grows.
Most of the detractors of fusion energy, environmental groups such as Greenpeace or Ecologistas en Acción, focus their criticism on the fact that it is not a 100% clean form of energy, i.e. it generates highly polluting radioactive waste such as tritium. Tritium is a radioactive isotope that emits beta i radiation and can cause congenital diseases, cancer, or genetic damage if ingested. A hypothetical leak of these materials could, for example, contaminate water, turning it into tritiated water, also radioactive.
It has been assumed that environmentalists are opposed to nuclear power, and nuclear power is the largest source of carbon-free fuel," the president says.
The goal is to close the carbon cycle, to prevent CO2 emissions into the atmosphere, without radically changing the way it works. Hopes are pinned on perfecting and making CO2 capture processes cheaper
My warning for today: we are systematically ignoring the life support system of planet Earth. We have exceeded the carrying capacity of the planet by a factor of 3. For everyone to live as Americans do, it would take three Earths.
So 1 barrel weighs: 158.9872972 * 0.88 = 139.908821536 kilograms
It would be technically feasible to supply 100% of the total energy demand with renewable sources. The most appropriate combination of technologies and their geographical location will depend on the energy distribution system, the need for generation regulation (linked to demand management), and the cost evolution of each technology.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link)Some studies suggest that without fossil fuel-based agriculture, the U.S. would only be able to support about two-thirds of its current population. For the planet as a whole, the sustainable figure is thought to be around two billion.
Industrial agriculture as practiced in the 20th and 21st centuries is supported by three legs: mechanization, pesticides/fertilizers and genetic engineering. Of those three legs, the first two are directly dependent on petroleum to run the machines and natural gas to act as the chemical feedstock...
Coal production was on a carrousel [un]til the nineties when it started a sharp decline, then all of a sudden it sharply rebounded after 2000. This has most likely been due to the emerging economies of Asia.
So we can assume that 2005 is very likely to be a peak year in Energy/Capita. 30% of 12,522 is approximately 3,756, a value first reached in 1950. In the scenario of an oil-driven world, this value is crossed again in 2044.
If it turns out that Oil drives the production of energy from other sources, the life expectancy of the Electric Civilization is less than one hundred years: i.e., X < 100. In case Oil does not drive the production of other energy sources, the life expectancy of the Electric Civilization is greater than or equal to one hundred years: i.e., X >= 100. In such a case, X will be limited by an upper bound not yet evaluated, set by the decline of finite energy sources other than Oil: i.e., X < U.
At present, we don't have to burn fossil fuels. We don't have to use anything that would contaminate the environment. There are many sources of energy available.
Industrial agriculture as practiced in the 20th and 21st centuries is supported by three legs: mechanization, pesticides/fertilizers and genetic engineering. Of those three legs, the first two are directly dependent on petroleum to run the machines and natural gas to act as the chemical feedstock...
My warning for today: we are systematically ignoring the life support system of planet Earth. We have exceeded the carrying capacity of the planet by a factor of 3. For everyone to live as Americans do, it would take three Earths.
Some studies suggest that without fossil fuel-based agriculture, the U.S. would only be able to support about two-thirds of its current population. For the planet as a whole, the sustainable figure is thought to be around two billion.
Sooner or later, all remnants of our society will have vanished, turned into ruins to rival those of the Aztecs and Mayans. By then, all those who have been unable to convert to a sustainable, self-sufficient way of life may have perished, leaving only those living in independent communities to carry on the human story. The human population could fall to as few as one billion, scattered in farmland oases among deserts of buildings, rusting vehicles, and jungles.
Leslie A. White formulates the "Basic Law of Evolution" in which he emphasizes the levels of energy use as determinants of cultural evolution. [...] As long as other factors are held constant, culture evolves as the amount of energy available per head per year grows, or as the efficiency of the means of making that energy work grows.
Coal production was on a carrousel [un]til the nineties when it started a sharp decline, then all of a sudden it sharply rebounded after 2000. This has most likely been due to the emerging economies of Asia.
So we can assume that 2005 is very likely to be a peak year in Energy/Capita. 30% of 12,522 is approximately 3,756, a value first reached in 1950. In the scenario of an oil-driven world, this value is crossed again in 2044.
If it turns out that Oil drives the production of energy from other sources, the life expectancy of the Electric Civilization is less than one hundred years: i.e., X < 100. In case Oil does not drive the production of other energy sources, the life expectancy of the Electric Civilization is greater than or equal to one hundred years: i.e., X >= 100. In such a case, X will be limited by an upper bound not yet evaluated, set by the decline of finite energy sources other than Oil: i.e., X < U.
It would be technically feasible to supply 100% of the total energy demand with renewable sources. The most appropriate combination of technologies and their geographical location will depend on the energy distribution system, the need for generation regulation (linked to demand management), and the cost evolution of each technology.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link)Most of the detractors of fusion energy, environmental groups such as Greenpeace or Ecologistas en Acción, focus their criticism on the fact that it is not a 100% clean form of energy, i.e. it generates highly polluting radioactive waste such as tritium. Tritium is a radioactive isotope that emits beta i radiation and can cause congenital diseases, cancer, or genetic damage if ingested. A hypothetical leak of these materials could, for example, contaminate water, turning it into tritiated water, also radioactive.
The fact is, efficiency, sustainability and abundance are enemies of profit. To put it into a word, it is the mechanism of SCARCITY that increases profits..... What is scarcity? Based on keeping products valuable. Slowing up production on OIL raises the price. Maintaining scarcity of diamonds, keeps the price high. They burn diamonds at the Kimberly diamond mines- they are made of carbon-it keeps the price up.
That said, it turns out that there is another form of clean, renewable energy that beats them all: geothermal energy. Geothermal energy uses what is called heat extraction, which, while a simple process using water, is capable of generating massive amounts of clean energy. In 2006, an MIT report on geothermal energy found that there are currently 13,000 zettajoules of energy available in the earth, with the possibility of 2000 zj being easily harnessed with improved technology. The total energy consumption of all countries on the planet is about half of one zettajoule per year. This means that about 4000 years of planetary energy could be harnessed in this medium alone. And if we understand that the Earth's heat generation is constantly renewing itself, this energy is truly unlimited and could be used forever.
Today, we don't have to burn fossil fuels. We don't have to use anything that pollutes the environment. There are many sources of energy available.
Currently, Fresco calls himself things like "social engineer" (it is not a degree, it is a qualification that he gives himself), "futuristic designer", "architectural designer" (avoiding calling you "architect", eh, Jacque?), "conceptual artist", "educator" and he also calls himself the closest thing to a degree that he has been able to find without being denounced by any professional association: "industrial designer". And I say "without being denounced" because Fresco has had, as the swindler that he is, numerous problems with various professional associations of all kinds, since he has tried to pass himself off on many occasions as what he is not, and has been forced to use increasingly "neutral" and "aseptic" terms when referring to his "training" or "profession".
It reminds me of those years when nobody wanted to listen to scientists talking about global warming. At that time we predicted events with a lot of attachment to the way they happened. Then as now, we wondered what it would take to get people to listen. It's not a conspiracy: it's institutional denial.
It has been assumed that environmentalists are opposed to nuclear power, and nuclear power is the largest source of carbon-free fuel," the president says.
The goal is to close the carbon cycle, to prevent CO2 emissions into the atmosphere, without radically changing the way it works. Hopes are pinned on perfecting and making CO2 capture processes cheaper
So 1 barrel weighs: 158.9872972 * 0.88 = 139.908821536 kilograms
Sooner or later, all remnants of our society will have vanished, turned into ruins to rival those of the Aztecs and Mayans. By then, all those who have been unable to convert to a sustainable, self-sufficient way of life may have perished, leaving only those living in independent communities to carry on the human story. The human population could fall to as few as one billion, scattered in farmland oases among deserts of buildings, rusting vehicles, and jungles.
At present, we don't have to burn fossil fuels. We don't have to use anything that would contaminate the environment. There are many sources of energy available.
The fact is, efficiency, sustainability and abundance are enemies of profit. To put it into a word, it is the mechanism of SCARCITY that increases profits..... What is scarcity? Based on keeping products valuable. Slowing up production on OIL raises the price. Maintaining scarcity of diamonds, keeps the price high. They burn diamonds at the Kimberly diamond mines- they are made of carbon-it keeps the price up.
That said, it turns out that there is another form of clean, renewable energy that beats them all: geothermal energy. Geothermal energy uses what is called heat extraction, which, while a simple process using water, is capable of generating massive amounts of clean energy. In 2006, an MIT report on geothermal energy found that there are currently 13,000 zettajoules of energy available in the earth, with the possibility of 2000 zj being easily harnessed with improved technology. The total energy consumption of all countries on the planet is about half of one zettajoule per year. This means that about 4000 years of planetary energy could be harnessed in this medium alone. And if we understand that the Earth's heat generation is constantly renewing itself, this energy is truly unlimited and could be used forever.
Today, we don't have to burn fossil fuels. We don't have to use anything that pollutes the environment. There are many sources of energy available.