Overconfidence effect (English Wikipedia)

Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "Overconfidence effect" in English language version.

refsWebsite

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29doi.org

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13nih.gov

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12semanticscholar.org

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8web.archive.org

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4worldcat.org

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4psu.edu

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2archive.org

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2books.google.com

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2wikidata.org

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2cmu.edu

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1apa.org

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1psyarxiv.com

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1jstor.org

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1iastate.edu

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1colorado.edu

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1ed.gov

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1nytimes.com

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1repec.org

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1sciencedirect.com

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1umich.edu

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1handle.net

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1fortlewis.edu

low place

1stanford.edu

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1hbr.org

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1researchgate.net

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1openlibrary.org

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1psychologytoday.com

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1medium.com

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apa.org (Global: 1,220^th place; English: 1,102^nd place)

doi.apa.org

Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (April 2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. ISSN 1939-1471. PMID 18426301.

archive.org (Global: 6^th place; English: 6^th place)

Hoffrage, Ulrich (2004). "Overconfidence". In Pohl, Rüdiger (ed.). Cognitive Illusions: a handbook on fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and memory. Psychology Press. ISBN 978-1-84169-351-4.
Kahneman, Daniel (19 October 2011). "Don't Blink! The Hazards of Confidence". New York Times. Adapted from: Kahneman, Daniel (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. ISBN 978-1-4299-6935-2.

books.google.com (Global: 3^rd place; English: 3^rd place)

Dunning, David (2005). Self-Insight: Roadblocks and Detours on the Path to Knowing Thyself. Psychology Press. ISBN 978-1-84169-074-2.
Johnson, Dominic D. P. (2004). Overconfidence and War: The Havoc and Glory of Positive Illusions. Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0-674-01576-0.

cmu.edu (Global: 1,564^th place; English: 1,028^th place)

repository.cmu.edu

Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.335.2777. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. PMID 18426301. Archived from the original on 2014-11-06.

andrew.cmu.edu

Thompson, Leigh; Loewenstein, George (1992). "Egocentric interpretations of fairness and interpersonal conflict" (PDF). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 51 (2): 176–197. doi:10.1016/0749-5978(92)90010-5. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07.

colorado.edu (Global: 2,526^th place; English: 1,796^th place)

leeds-faculty.colorado.edu

McGraw, A. Peter; Mellers, Barbara A.; Ritov, Ilana (2004). "The affective costs of overconfidence" (PDF). Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 17 (4): 281–295. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.334.8499. doi:10.1002/bdm.472. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-03-04.

doi.org (Global: 2^nd place; English: 2^nd place)

Pallier, Gerry; Wilkinson, Rebecca; Danthiir, Vanessa; Kleitman, Sabina; Knezevic, Goran; Stankov, Lazar; Roberts, Richard D. (2002). "The Role of Individual Differences in the Accuracy of Confidence Judgments". The Journal of General Psychology. 129 (3): 257–299. doi:10.1080/00221300209602099. PMID 12224810. S2CID 6652634.
Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (April 2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. ISSN 1939-1471. PMID 18426301.
Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.335.2777. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. PMID 18426301. Archived from the original on 2014-11-06.
Moore, Don A.; Schatz, Derek (August 2017). "The three faces of overconfidence". Social and Personality Psychology Compass. 11 (8) e12331. doi:10.1111/spc3.12331. ISSN 1751-9004.
Adams, P. A.; Adams, J. K. (1960). "Confidence in the recognition and reproduction of words difficult to spell". The American Journal of Psychology. 73 (4): 544–552. doi:10.2307/1419942. JSTOR 1419942. PMID 13681411.
Langer, Ellen J. (1975). "The illusion of control". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 32 (2): 311–328. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.32.2.311. S2CID 30043741.
Gino, Francesca; Sharek, Zachariah; Moore, Don A. (2011). "Keeping the illusion of control under control: Ceilings, floors, and imperfect calibration". Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 114 (2): 104–114. doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2010.10.002.
Buehler, Roger; Griffin, Dale; Ross, Michael (1994). "Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 67 (3): 366–381. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.67.3.366. S2CID 4222578.
Krizan, Zlatan; Windschitl, Paul D. (2007). "The influence of outcome desirability on optimism" (PDF). Psychological Bulletin. 133 (1): 95–121. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.95. PMID 17201572. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-12-17. Retrieved 2014-11-07.
Norem, Julie K.; Cantor, Nancy (1986). "Defensive pessimism: Harnessing anxiety as motivation". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 51 (6): 1208–1217. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.51.6.1208. PMID 3806357.
McGraw, A. Peter; Mellers, Barbara A.; Ritov, Ilana (2004). "The affective costs of overconfidence" (PDF). Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 17 (4): 281–295. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.334.8499. doi:10.1002/bdm.472. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-03-04.
Harvey, Nigel (1997). "Confidence in judgment". Trends in Cognitive Sciences. 1 (2): 78–82. doi:10.1016/S1364-6613(97)01014-0. PMID 21223868. S2CID 8645740.
Vörös, Zsófia (2020). "Effect of the different forms of overconfidence on venture creation: Overestimation, overplacement and overprecision". Journal of Management & Organization. 19 (1): 304–317. doi:10.1017/jmo.2019.93. S2CID 212837116.
Svenson, Ola (1981). "Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?". Acta Psychologica. 47 (2): 143–148. doi:10.1016/0001-6918(81)90005-6.
Kruger, Justin (1999). "Lake Wobegon be gone! The "below-average effect" and the egocentric nature of comparative ability judgments". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 77 (2): 221–232. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.77.2.221. PMID 10474208.
Weinstein, Neil D. (1980). "Unrealistic optimism about future life events". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 39 (5): 806–820. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.535.9244. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.39.5.806. S2CID 14051760.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D. (2004). "Biases in Social Comparative Judgments: The Role of Nonmotivated Factors in Above-Average and Comparative-Optimism Effects". Psychological Bulletin. 130 (5): 813–838. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.130.5.813. PMID 15367082. S2CID 15974667.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D.; Suls, Jerry (2003). "Egocentrism, Event Frequency, and Comparative Optimism: When what Happens Frequently is "More Likely to Happen to Me"". Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 29 (11): 1343–1356. doi:10.1177/0146167203256870. PMID 15189574. S2CID 8593467.
Kruger, Justin; Burrus, Jeremy (2004). "Egocentrism and focalism in unrealistic optimism (and pessimism)". Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 40 (3): 332–340. doi:10.1016/j.jesp.2003.06.002.
Taylor, Shelley E.; Brown, Jonathon D. (1988). "Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health". Psychological Bulletin. 103 (2): 193–210. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.385.9509. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193. PMID 3283814. S2CID 762759.
Malmendier, Ulrike; Tate, Geoffrey (2008). "Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction". Journal of Financial Economics. 89 (1): 20–43. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.07.002. S2CID 12354773.
Twardawski, Torsten; Kind, Axel (2023). "Board overconfidence in mergers and acquisitions". Journal of Business Research. 165 (1). doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2023.114026.
Thompson, Leigh; Loewenstein, George (1992). "Egocentric interpretations of fairness and interpersonal conflict" (PDF). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 51 (2): 176–197. doi:10.1016/0749-5978(92)90010-5. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07.
Babcock, Linda C.; Olson, Craig A. (1992). "The Causes of Impasses in Labor Disputes". Industrial Relations. 31 (2): 348–360. doi:10.1111/j.1468-232X.1992.tb00313.x. S2CID 154389983.
Aumann, Robert J. (1976). "Agreeing to Disagree". The Annals of Statistics. 4 (6): 1236–1239. doi:10.1214/aos/1176343654.
Daniel, Kent; Hirshleifer, David; Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar (1998). "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreactions" (PDF). The Journal of Finance. 53 (6): 1839–1885. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00077. hdl:2027.42/73431. S2CID 32589687.
Oskamp, Stuart (1965). "Overconfidence in case-study judgments" (PDF). Journal of Consulting Psychology. 29 (3): 261–265. doi:10.1037/h0022125. PMID 14303514. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07. Reprinted in Kahneman, Daniel; Slovic, Paul; Tversky, Amos, eds. (1982). Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press. pp. 287–293. ISBN 978-0-521-28414-1.
Radzevick, J. R.; Moore, D. A. (2009). "Competing To Be Certain (But Wrong): Social Pressure and Overprecision in Judgment" (PDF). Academy of Management Proceedings. 2009 (1): 1–6. doi:10.5465/AMBPP.2009.44246308. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-11-07.
Daniel Kahneman; Gary A. Klein (1 September 2009). "Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree". American Psychologist. 64 (6): 515–526. doi:10.1037/A0016755. ISSN 0003-066X. PMID 19739881. Wikidata Q35001791.

ed.gov (Global: 576^th place; English: 352^nd place)

eric.ed.gov

Cannell, John Jacob (1989). "How public educators cheat on standardized achievement tests: The "Lake Wobegon" report". Friends for Education. Archived from the original on 2014-11-07.

fortlewis.edu (Global: low place; English: low place)

faculty.fortlewis.edu

Oskamp, Stuart (1965). "Overconfidence in case-study judgments" (PDF). Journal of Consulting Psychology. 29 (3): 261–265. doi:10.1037/h0022125. PMID 14303514. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07. Reprinted in Kahneman, Daniel; Slovic, Paul; Tversky, Amos, eds. (1982). Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press. pp. 287–293. ISBN 978-0-521-28414-1.

handle.net (Global: 102^nd place; English: 76^th place)

hdl.handle.net

Daniel, Kent; Hirshleifer, David; Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar (1998). "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreactions" (PDF). The Journal of Finance. 53 (6): 1839–1885. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00077. hdl:2027.42/73431. S2CID 32589687.

hbr.org (Global: 2,754^th place; English: 1,686^th place)

Elizabeth.R, Tenney; David, Hunsaker; Nathan, Meikle (2018). "Research: When Overconfidence Is an Asset, and When It's a Liability". Harvard Business Review.

iastate.edu (Global: 2,548^th place; English: 1,587^th place)

public.psych.iastate.edu

Krizan, Zlatan; Windschitl, Paul D. (2007). "The influence of outcome desirability on optimism" (PDF). Psychological Bulletin. 133 (1): 95–121. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.95. PMID 17201572. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-12-17. Retrieved 2014-11-07.

jstor.org (Global: 26^th place; English: 20^th place)

Adams, P. A.; Adams, J. K. (1960). "Confidence in the recognition and reproduction of words difficult to spell". The American Journal of Psychology. 73 (4): 544–552. doi:10.2307/1419942. JSTOR 1419942. PMID 13681411.

medium.com (Global: 551^st place; English: 406^th place)

Rimondi, Christopher (2019-08-06). "Chernobyl, Anatoly Dyatlov and Engineering Arrogance". Medium. Retrieved 2021-03-08.

nih.gov (Global: 4^th place; English: 4^th place)

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Pallier, Gerry; Wilkinson, Rebecca; Danthiir, Vanessa; Kleitman, Sabina; Knezevic, Goran; Stankov, Lazar; Roberts, Richard D. (2002). "The Role of Individual Differences in the Accuracy of Confidence Judgments". The Journal of General Psychology. 129 (3): 257–299. doi:10.1080/00221300209602099. PMID 12224810. S2CID 6652634.
Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (April 2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. ISSN 1939-1471. PMID 18426301.
Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.335.2777. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. PMID 18426301. Archived from the original on 2014-11-06.
Adams, P. A.; Adams, J. K. (1960). "Confidence in the recognition and reproduction of words difficult to spell". The American Journal of Psychology. 73 (4): 544–552. doi:10.2307/1419942. JSTOR 1419942. PMID 13681411.
Krizan, Zlatan; Windschitl, Paul D. (2007). "The influence of outcome desirability on optimism" (PDF). Psychological Bulletin. 133 (1): 95–121. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.95. PMID 17201572. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-12-17. Retrieved 2014-11-07.
Norem, Julie K.; Cantor, Nancy (1986). "Defensive pessimism: Harnessing anxiety as motivation". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 51 (6): 1208–1217. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.51.6.1208. PMID 3806357.
Harvey, Nigel (1997). "Confidence in judgment". Trends in Cognitive Sciences. 1 (2): 78–82. doi:10.1016/S1364-6613(97)01014-0. PMID 21223868. S2CID 8645740.
Kruger, Justin (1999). "Lake Wobegon be gone! The "below-average effect" and the egocentric nature of comparative ability judgments". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 77 (2): 221–232. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.77.2.221. PMID 10474208.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D. (2004). "Biases in Social Comparative Judgments: The Role of Nonmotivated Factors in Above-Average and Comparative-Optimism Effects". Psychological Bulletin. 130 (5): 813–838. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.130.5.813. PMID 15367082. S2CID 15974667.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D.; Suls, Jerry (2003). "Egocentrism, Event Frequency, and Comparative Optimism: When what Happens Frequently is "More Likely to Happen to Me"". Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 29 (11): 1343–1356. doi:10.1177/0146167203256870. PMID 15189574. S2CID 8593467.
Taylor, Shelley E.; Brown, Jonathon D. (1988). "Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health". Psychological Bulletin. 103 (2): 193–210. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.385.9509. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193. PMID 3283814. S2CID 762759.
Oskamp, Stuart (1965). "Overconfidence in case-study judgments" (PDF). Journal of Consulting Psychology. 29 (3): 261–265. doi:10.1037/h0022125. PMID 14303514. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07. Reprinted in Kahneman, Daniel; Slovic, Paul; Tversky, Amos, eds. (1982). Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press. pp. 287–293. ISBN 978-0-521-28414-1.
Daniel Kahneman; Gary A. Klein (1 September 2009). "Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree". American Psychologist. 64 (6): 515–526. doi:10.1037/A0016755. ISSN 0003-066X. PMID 19739881. Wikidata Q35001791.

nytimes.com (Global: 7^th place; English: 7^th place)

Kahneman, Daniel (19 October 2011). "Don't Blink! The Hazards of Confidence". New York Times. Adapted from: Kahneman, Daniel (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. ISBN 978-1-4299-6935-2.

openlibrary.org (Global: 325^th place; English: 255^th place)

Daniel Kahneman; Olivier Sibony; Cass Sunstein (18 May 2021). Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment. United States: Little, Brown and Company. ISBN 978-0-316-26665-9. OL 39437932M. Wikidata Q107108799.

psu.edu (Global: 207^th place; English: 136^th place)

citeseerx.ist.psu.edu

Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.335.2777. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. PMID 18426301. Archived from the original on 2014-11-06.
McGraw, A. Peter; Mellers, Barbara A.; Ritov, Ilana (2004). "The affective costs of overconfidence" (PDF). Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 17 (4): 281–295. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.334.8499. doi:10.1002/bdm.472. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-03-04.
Weinstein, Neil D. (1980). "Unrealistic optimism about future life events". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 39 (5): 806–820. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.535.9244. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.39.5.806. S2CID 14051760.
Taylor, Shelley E.; Brown, Jonathon D. (1988). "Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health". Psychological Bulletin. 103 (2): 193–210. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.385.9509. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193. PMID 3283814. S2CID 762759.

psyarxiv.com (Global: low place; English: low place)

Moore, Don A.; Schatz, Derek (August 2017). "The three faces of overconfidence". Social and Personality Psychology Compass. 11 (8) e12331. doi:10.1111/spc3.12331. ISSN 1751-9004.

psychologytoday.com (Global: 1,544^th place; English: 1,128^th place)

"Overconfidence". Psychology Today. Retrieved 2021-03-08.

repec.org (Global: 4,270^th place; English: 2,990^th place)

econpapers.repec.org

Malmendier, Ulrike; Tate, Geoffrey (2008). "Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction". Journal of Financial Economics. 89 (1): 20–43. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.07.002. S2CID 12354773.

researchgate.net (Global: 120^th place; English: 125^th place)

Daniel Kahneman; Gary A. Klein (1 September 2009). "Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree". American Psychologist. 64 (6): 515–526. doi:10.1037/A0016755. ISSN 0003-066X. PMID 19739881. Wikidata Q35001791.

sciencedirect.com (Global: 149^th place; English: 178^th place)

Twardawski, Torsten; Kind, Axel (2023). "Board overconfidence in mergers and acquisitions". Journal of Business Research. 165 (1). doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2023.114026.

semanticscholar.org (Global: 11^th place; English: 8^th place)

api.semanticscholar.org

Pallier, Gerry; Wilkinson, Rebecca; Danthiir, Vanessa; Kleitman, Sabina; Knezevic, Goran; Stankov, Lazar; Roberts, Richard D. (2002). "The Role of Individual Differences in the Accuracy of Confidence Judgments". The Journal of General Psychology. 129 (3): 257–299. doi:10.1080/00221300209602099. PMID 12224810. S2CID 6652634.
Langer, Ellen J. (1975). "The illusion of control". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 32 (2): 311–328. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.32.2.311. S2CID 30043741.
Buehler, Roger; Griffin, Dale; Ross, Michael (1994). "Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 67 (3): 366–381. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.67.3.366. S2CID 4222578.
Harvey, Nigel (1997). "Confidence in judgment". Trends in Cognitive Sciences. 1 (2): 78–82. doi:10.1016/S1364-6613(97)01014-0. PMID 21223868. S2CID 8645740.
Vörös, Zsófia (2020). "Effect of the different forms of overconfidence on venture creation: Overestimation, overplacement and overprecision". Journal of Management & Organization. 19 (1): 304–317. doi:10.1017/jmo.2019.93. S2CID 212837116.
Weinstein, Neil D. (1980). "Unrealistic optimism about future life events". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 39 (5): 806–820. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.535.9244. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.39.5.806. S2CID 14051760.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D. (2004). "Biases in Social Comparative Judgments: The Role of Nonmotivated Factors in Above-Average and Comparative-Optimism Effects". Psychological Bulletin. 130 (5): 813–838. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.130.5.813. PMID 15367082. S2CID 15974667.
Chambers, John R.; Windschitl, Paul D.; Suls, Jerry (2003). "Egocentrism, Event Frequency, and Comparative Optimism: When what Happens Frequently is "More Likely to Happen to Me"". Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 29 (11): 1343–1356. doi:10.1177/0146167203256870. PMID 15189574. S2CID 8593467.
Taylor, Shelley E.; Brown, Jonathon D. (1988). "Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health". Psychological Bulletin. 103 (2): 193–210. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.385.9509. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193. PMID 3283814. S2CID 762759.
Malmendier, Ulrike; Tate, Geoffrey (2008). "Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction". Journal of Financial Economics. 89 (1): 20–43. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.07.002. S2CID 12354773.
Babcock, Linda C.; Olson, Craig A. (1992). "The Causes of Impasses in Labor Disputes". Industrial Relations. 31 (2): 348–360. doi:10.1111/j.1468-232X.1992.tb00313.x. S2CID 154389983.
Daniel, Kent; Hirshleifer, David; Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar (1998). "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreactions" (PDF). The Journal of Finance. 53 (6): 1839–1885. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00077. hdl:2027.42/73431. S2CID 32589687.

stanford.edu (Global: 179^th place; English: 183^rd place)

gsb.stanford.edu

Radzevick, J. R.; Moore, D. A. (2009). "Competing To Be Certain (But Wrong): Social Pressure and Overprecision in Judgment" (PDF). Academy of Management Proceedings. 2009 (1): 1–6. doi:10.5465/AMBPP.2009.44246308. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-11-07.

umich.edu (Global: 459^th place; English: 360^th place)

deepblue.lib.umich.edu

Daniel, Kent; Hirshleifer, David; Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar (1998). "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Overreactions" (PDF). The Journal of Finance. 53 (6): 1839–1885. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00077. hdl:2027.42/73431. S2CID 32589687.

web.archive.org (Global: 1^st place; English: 1^st place)

Moore, Don A.; Healy, Paul J. (2008). "The trouble with overconfidence". Psychological Review. 115 (2): 502–517. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.335.2777. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.115.2.502. PMID 18426301. Archived from the original on 2014-11-06.
Krizan, Zlatan; Windschitl, Paul D. (2007). "The influence of outcome desirability on optimism" (PDF). Psychological Bulletin. 133 (1): 95–121. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.95. PMID 17201572. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-12-17. Retrieved 2014-11-07.
McGraw, A. Peter; Mellers, Barbara A.; Ritov, Ilana (2004). "The affective costs of overconfidence" (PDF). Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 17 (4): 281–295. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.334.8499. doi:10.1002/bdm.472. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-03-04.
Cannell, John Jacob (1989). "How public educators cheat on standardized achievement tests: The "Lake Wobegon" report". Friends for Education. Archived from the original on 2014-11-07.
Thompson, Leigh; Loewenstein, George (1992). "Egocentric interpretations of fairness and interpersonal conflict" (PDF). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 51 (2): 176–197. doi:10.1016/0749-5978(92)90010-5. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-11-07.
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Daniel Kahneman; Gary A. Klein (1 September 2009). "Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree". American Psychologist. 64 (6): 515–526. doi:10.1037/A0016755. ISSN 0003-066X. PMID 19739881. Wikidata Q35001791.
Daniel Kahneman; Olivier Sibony; Cass Sunstein (18 May 2021). Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment. United States: Little, Brown and Company. ISBN 978-0-316-26665-9. OL 39437932M. Wikidata Q107108799.

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Moore, Don A.; Schatz, Derek (August 2017). "The three faces of overconfidence". Social and Personality Psychology Compass. 11 (8) e12331. doi:10.1111/spc3.12331. ISSN 1751-9004.
Fowler, James H.; Johnson, Dominic D. P. (2011-01-07). "On Overconfidence". Seed Magazine. ISSN 1499-0679. Archived from the original on 2011-08-12. Retrieved 2011-08-14.
Daniel Kahneman; Gary A. Klein (1 September 2009). "Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree". American Psychologist. 64 (6): 515–526. doi:10.1037/A0016755. ISSN 0003-066X. PMID 19739881. Wikidata Q35001791.

Overconfidence effect (English Wikipedia)

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