Superforecaster (English Wikipedia)

Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "Superforecaster" in English language version.

refsWebsite

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7web.archive.org

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4youtube.com

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3bbc.co.uk

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2archive.today

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2ft.com

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2doi.org

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2economist.com

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2apa.org

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2uspto.report

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1theneweuropean.co.uk

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1ifp.org

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1uspto.gov

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1merriam-webster.com

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1worldcat.org

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1openlibrary.org

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1cia.gov

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1informs.org

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1washingtonpost.com

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1upenn.edu

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1time.com

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1cnas.org

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1goldmansachs.com

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1books.google.com

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1wikipedia.org

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1clingendael.org

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1wnpr.org

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1whynow.co.uk

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1goodjudgment.com

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1engelsbergideas.com

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apa.org

Mellers B, Stone E, Atanasov P, Rohrbaugh N, Metz SE, Ungar L, et al. "The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics" (PDF). Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. 2015;21(1):1-14.
Mellers B, Stone E, Atanasov P, Rohrbaugh N, Metz SE, Ungar L, et al. "The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics" (PDF). Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. 2015;21(1):1-14.

archive.today

Adonis (2020). Adonis, Andrew (20 February 2020). "In praise of (some) superforecasters". The New European. Archived from the original on 20 February 2020. Retrieved 20 February 2020.
Burton (2015). Burton, Tara Isabella (20 January 2015). "Could you be a 'super-forecaster'?". BBC. Archived from the original on 19 February 2020. Retrieved 19 February 2020.

bbc.co.uk

BBC News (2020). BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
BBC News (2020), What is the science behind it?. BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
BBC News (2020), How successful is it?. BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.

bbc.com

Burton (2015). Burton, Tara Isabella (20 January 2015). "Could you be a 'super-forecaster'?". BBC. Archived from the original on 19 February 2020. Retrieved 19 February 2020.

books.google.com

LLC, New York Media (13 November 1995). New York Magazine. New York Media, LLC.

cia.gov

Bobby W. (2019), p. 14. Bobby W. (December 2019). "The Limits of Prediction—or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying About Black Swans and Love Analysis" (PDF). Studies in Intelligence. 63 (4). Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2020.

clingendael.org

Joseph, Regina. "Clingendael Futures" (PDF). Clingendael Futures.

cnas.org

Cochran KM, Tozzi G. "Getting it Righter, Faster: The Role of Prediction in Agile Government Decisionmaking". Center for a New American Security. 2017.

doi.org

Satopää, Ville A.; Salikhov, Marat; Tetlock, Philip E.; Mellers, Barbara (2021). "Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting". Management Science. 67 (12): 7599–7618. doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3882.
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Richman, Ronald; Carreira, Marcos; Sharpe, James (1 April 2023). "The probability conflation: A reply to Tetlock et al". International Journal of Forecasting. 39 (2): 1026–1029. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.01.005.

economist.com

What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2023. The Economist. 18 November 2022
What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2024. The Economist. 13 November 2023

engelsbergideas.com

Raine, Suzanne. "Superforecasting will not save us". Engelsberg ideas (in Swedish). Retrieved 26 August 2024.

ft.com

Harford (2014), How to be a superforecaster. Harford, Tim (5 September 2014). "How to see into the future". Financial Times Magazine. FT Group. Archived from the original on 23 September 2019. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
The art of superforecasting: how FT readers fared against the experts in 2023. Financial Times. 26 December 2023

goldmansachs.com

Hatzius J, Struyven D, Bhushan S, Milo D. "V(accine)-Shaped Recovery". Goldman Sachs Economics Research. 7 November 2020.

goodjudgment.com

"Superforecaster Profiles". Good Judgment. Retrieved 17 July 2021.

ifp.org

"Can Policymakers Trust Forecasters?". Institute for Progress. Retrieved 26 August 2024.

informs.org

pubsonline.informs.org

Satopää, Ville A.; Salikhov, Marat; Tetlock, Philip E.; Mellers, Barbara (2021). "Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting". Management Science. 67 (12): 7599–7618. doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3882.

merriam-webster.com

"Super Definition & Meaning". Merriam-Webster. Archived from the original on 1 November 2023. Retrieved 1 November 2023.

openlibrary.org

Tetlock & Gardner (2015). Tetlock, Philip E.; Gardner, Dan (2015). Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction. New York: Crown Publishers. ISBN 9780804136693. OCLC 898909721. OL 18233878W.

theneweuropean.co.uk

Adonis (2020). Adonis, Andrew (20 February 2020). "In praise of (some) superforecasters". The New European. Archived from the original on 20 February 2020. Retrieved 20 February 2020.

time.com

Tara Law. "'Superforecasters' Are Making Eerily Accurate Predictions About COVID-19. Our Leaders Could Learn From Their Approach." TIME. 11 June 2020.

upenn.edu

global.upenn.edu

Horowitz MC, Ciocca J, Kahn L, Ruhl C. "Keeping Score: A New Approach to Geopolitical Forecasting" (PDF). Perry World House, University of Pennsylvania. 2021, p.9.

uspto.gov

tmsearch.uspto.gov

"Trademark Electronic Search System (TESS)". tmsearch.uspto.gov. Retrieved 5 January 2023.

uspto.report

USPTO.report. "Systems and Methods for Bias-Sensitive Crowd-Sourced Analytics Patent Application". USPTO.report. Retrieved 27 August 2024.
USPTO.report. "Systems and Methods for Multi-Source Reference Class Identification, Base Rate Calculation, and Prediction Patent Application". USPTO.report. Retrieved 27 August 2024.

washingtonpost.com

David Ignatius. "More chatter than needed". The Washington Post. 1 November 2013.

web.archive.org

"Super Definition & Meaning". Merriam-Webster. Archived from the original on 1 November 2023. Retrieved 1 November 2023.
Bobby W. (2019), p. 14. Bobby W. (December 2019). "The Limits of Prediction—or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying About Black Swans and Love Analysis" (PDF). Studies in Intelligence. 63 (4). Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2020.
BBC News (2020). BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
BBC News (2020), What is the science behind it?. BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
Harford (2014), How to be a superforecaster. Harford, Tim (5 September 2014). "How to see into the future". Financial Times Magazine. FT Group. Archived from the original on 23 September 2019. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
BBC News (2020), How successful is it?. BBC News (18 February 2020). "Andrew Sabisky: What is superforecasting?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 18 February 2020. Retrieved 18 February 2020.
Nilaya (2015), Guests. Nilaya, Josh (29 September 2015). "U.S. Intelligence Dabbles in Forecasting the Future". Connecticut Public Radio Home. Archived from the original on 11 January 2019. Retrieved 21 February 2020.

whynow.co.uk

"Superforecasting: The Future's Chequered Past and Present". whynow. 8 February 2021. Retrieved 17 July 2021.

wikipedia.org

en.m.wikipedia.org

"Blender (magazine)", Wikipedia, 27 August 2024, retrieved 27 August 2024

wnpr.org

Nilaya (2015), Guests. Nilaya, Josh (29 September 2015). "U.S. Intelligence Dabbles in Forecasting the Future". Connecticut Public Radio Home. Archived from the original on 11 January 2019. Retrieved 21 February 2020.

worldcat.org

search.worldcat.org

Tetlock & Gardner (2015). Tetlock, Philip E.; Gardner, Dan (2015). Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction. New York: Crown Publishers. ISBN 9780804136693. OCLC 898909721. OL 18233878W.

youtube.com

VICE News (19 May 2017). Chechnya Abuse & The FBI Firing: VICE News Tonight Full Episode (HBO). Retrieved 27 August 2024 – via YouTube.
WHO KNEW (27 April 2021). WHO KNEW The Smartest People In The Room - Regina Joseph & David Hughes. Retrieved 27 August 2024 – via YouTube.
International Institute of Forecasters (15 August 2022). Forecasting Practices and Processes 5. Retrieved 27 August 2024 – via YouTube.
NSF PREPARE (18 January 2022). RP2 Day 2 Lightning Round 7: Social, Behavioral, Economic & Governance. Retrieved 27 August 2024 – via YouTube.