Roy M Anderson, Hans Heesterbeek e Don Klinkenberg, How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?, in The Lancet, marzo 2020, DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30567-5.
«A key issue for epidemiologists is helping policy makers decide the main objectives of mitigation—e.g., minimising morbidity and associated mortality, avoiding an epidemic peak that overwhelms health-care services, keeping the effects on the economy within manageable levels, and flattening the epidemic curve to wait for vaccine development and manufacture on scale and antiviral drug therapies.»