Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "아르메니아-아제르바이잔 국경 위기" in Korean language version.
So long as talks appear stalled, Azerbaijan will likely turn to small-scale violations of the cease-fire to seize tactically advantageous areas in Nagorno-Karabakh, or similar actions along the Armenia-Azerbaijan border. Baku has used this strategy on multiple occasions since the cease-fire was signed in November 2020 to force diplomatic progress by simultaneously demonstrating and increasing its leverage.
This is now the second time ever that Moscow has accused Azerbaijan of violating the ceasefire, after it called out Baku for its actions on 26 March.
While Azerbaijan has claimed that this new round of fighting was set off by Armenian "provocations" along the border, it is a pretext that few take seriously.
It has been a long-established pattern that some kind of fighting breaks out and demands the world's attention precisely when Baku is unhappy with the pace of negotiations with Armenia to resolve the conflict.
On 12 May 2021, troops from Azerbaijan temporarily entered the territory of Armenia, which amounts to a violation of the territorial integrity of Armenia and of international law
Since the end of the Second Nagorno Karabakh War, Azerbaijan has regularly violated the ceasefire agreement, provoking firefights with Armenia along the border.
Azerbaijan has now occupied roughly 50 square kilometres of Armenian territory since the 2020 conflict.
So long as talks appear stalled, Azerbaijan will likely turn to small-scale violations of the cease-fire to seize tactically advantageous areas in Nagorno-Karabakh, or similar actions along the Armenia-Azerbaijan border. Baku has used this strategy on multiple occasions since the cease-fire was signed in November 2020 to force diplomatic progress by simultaneously demonstrating and increasing its leverage.
While Azerbaijan has claimed that this new round of fighting was set off by Armenian "provocations" along the border, it is a pretext that few take seriously.
On 12 May 2021, troops from Azerbaijan temporarily entered the territory of Armenia, which amounts to a violation of the territorial integrity of Armenia and of international law
