เหตุผลวิบัติโดยอัตราพื้นฐาน (Thai Wikipedia)

Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "เหตุผลวิบัติโดยอัตราพื้นฐาน" in Thai language version.

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doi.org

  • Bar-Hillel, Maya (1980). "The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments". Acta Psychologica. 44: 211–233. doi:10.1016/0001-6918(80)90046-3.
  • Kahneman, Daniel; Amos Tversky (1973). "On the psychology of prediction". Psychological Review. 80: 237–251. doi:10.1037/h0034747.
  • Nisbett, Richard E.; Borgida, Eugene; Crandall, Rick; Reed, Harvey (1982-04-30). "Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative". Judgment under Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press. pp. 101–116. doi:10.1017/cbo9780511809477.008.
  • Koehler, Jonathan J. (1996). "The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 19 (1): 1–17. doi:10.1017/s0140525x00041157. ISSN 0140-525X.
  • Barbey, Aron K.; Sloman, Steven A. (2007). "Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 30 (3): 241–254. doi:10.1017/s0140525x07001653. ISSN 0140-525X.
  • Tversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel (1974-09-27). "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 185 (4157): 1124–1131. doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Cosmides, Leda; John Tooby (1996). "Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions of the literature on judgment under uncertainty". Cognition. 58: 1–73. doi:10.1016/0010-0277(95)00664-8.
  • Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1995). "How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 102 (4): 684–704. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.102.4.684. ISSN 0033-295X.
  • Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Sedlmeier, Peter; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2001). "Teaching Bayesian reasoning in less than two hours". Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. American Psychological Association (APA). 130 (3): 380–400. doi:10.1037/0096-3445.130.3.380. ISSN 1939-2222.
  • Brase, Gary L. (2009). "Pictorial representations in statistical reasoning". Applied Cognitive Psychology. Wiley. 23 (3): 369–381. doi:10.1002/acp.1460. ISSN 0888-4080.
  • Edwards, A. (2002-04-06). "Explaining risks: turning numerical data into meaningful pictures". BMJ. BMJ. 324 (7341): 827–830. doi:10.1136/bmj.324.7341.827. ISSN 0959-8138.
  • Girotto, Vittorio; Gonzalez, Michel (2001). "Solving probabilistic and statistical problems: a matter of information structure and question form". Cognition. Elsevier BV. 78 (3): 247–276. doi:10.1016/s0010-0277(00)00133-5. ISSN 0010-0277.
  • Hoffrage, U (2002). "Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not". Cognition. Elsevier BV. 84 (3): 343–352. doi:10.1016/s0010-0277(02)00050-1. ISSN 0010-0277. Full Article PDF (102 KB)
  • Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1999). "Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 106 (2): 425–430. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.2.425. ISSN 0033-295X. Full Article PDF (649 KB)
  • Kleiter, Gernot D. (1994). "Natural Sampling: Rationality without Base Rates". Recent Research in Psychology. New York, NY: Springer New York. doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-4308-3_27. ISBN 978-0-387-94169-1. ISSN 1431-7532.

fallacyfiles.org

  • "Logical Fallacy: The Base Rate Fallacy". Fallacyfiles.org. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2013-06-15.

mpg.de

library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de

religioustolerance.org

researchgate.net

  • Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1999). "Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 106 (2): 425–430. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.2.425. ISSN 0033-295X. Full Article PDF (649 KB)

web.archive.org

worldcat.org

  • Koehler, Jonathan J. (1996). "The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 19 (1): 1–17. doi:10.1017/s0140525x00041157. ISSN 0140-525X.
  • Barbey, Aron K.; Sloman, Steven A. (2007). "Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 30 (3): 241–254. doi:10.1017/s0140525x07001653. ISSN 0140-525X.
  • Tversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel (1974-09-27). "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 185 (4157): 1124–1131. doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1995). "How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 102 (4): 684–704. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.102.4.684. ISSN 0033-295X.
  • Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN 0036-8075.
  • Sedlmeier, Peter; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2001). "Teaching Bayesian reasoning in less than two hours". Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. American Psychological Association (APA). 130 (3): 380–400. doi:10.1037/0096-3445.130.3.380. ISSN 1939-2222.
  • Brase, Gary L. (2009). "Pictorial representations in statistical reasoning". Applied Cognitive Psychology. Wiley. 23 (3): 369–381. doi:10.1002/acp.1460. ISSN 0888-4080.
  • Edwards, A. (2002-04-06). "Explaining risks: turning numerical data into meaningful pictures". BMJ. BMJ. 324 (7341): 827–830. doi:10.1136/bmj.324.7341.827. ISSN 0959-8138.
  • Girotto, Vittorio; Gonzalez, Michel (2001). "Solving probabilistic and statistical problems: a matter of information structure and question form". Cognition. Elsevier BV. 78 (3): 247–276. doi:10.1016/s0010-0277(00)00133-5. ISSN 0010-0277.
  • Hoffrage, U (2002). "Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not". Cognition. Elsevier BV. 84 (3): 343–352. doi:10.1016/s0010-0277(02)00050-1. ISSN 0010-0277. Full Article PDF (102 KB)
  • Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1999). "Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 106 (2): 425–430. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.2.425. ISSN 0033-295X. Full Article PDF (649 KB)
  • Kleiter, Gernot D. (1994). "Natural Sampling: Rationality without Base Rates". Recent Research in Psychology. New York, NY: Springer New York. doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-4308-3_27. ISBN 978-0-387-94169-1. ISSN 1431-7532.