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Full ArticlePDF (649 KB)
Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1999). "Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 106 (2): 425–430. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.2.425. ISSN0033-295X.
Full ArticlePDF (649 KB)
Koehler, Jonathan J. (1996). "The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 19 (1): 1–17. doi:10.1017/s0140525x00041157. ISSN0140-525X.
Barbey, Aron K.; Sloman, Steven A. (2007). "Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes". Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 30 (3): 241–254. doi:10.1017/s0140525x07001653. ISSN0140-525X.
Tversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel (1974-09-27). "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 185 (4157): 1124–1131. doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124. ISSN0036-8075.
Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1995). "How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 102 (4): 684–704. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.102.4.684. ISSN0033-295X.
Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN0036-8075.
Hoffrage, Ulrich; Lindsey, Samuel; Hertwig, Ralph; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000-12-22). "Communicating Statistical Information". Science. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 290 (5500): 2261–2262. doi:10.1126/science.290.5500.2261. ISSN0036-8075.
Sedlmeier, Peter; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2001). "Teaching Bayesian reasoning in less than two hours". Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. American Psychological Association (APA). 130 (3): 380–400. doi:10.1037/0096-3445.130.3.380. ISSN1939-2222.
Brase, Gary L. (2009). "Pictorial representations in statistical reasoning". Applied Cognitive Psychology. Wiley. 23 (3): 369–381. doi:10.1002/acp.1460. ISSN0888-4080.
Edwards, A. (2002-04-06). "Explaining risks: turning numerical data into meaningful pictures". BMJ. BMJ. 324 (7341): 827–830. doi:10.1136/bmj.324.7341.827. ISSN0959-8138.
Girotto, Vittorio; Gonzalez, Michel (2001). "Solving probabilistic and statistical problems: a matter of information structure and question form". Cognition. Elsevier BV. 78 (3): 247–276. doi:10.1016/s0010-0277(00)00133-5. ISSN0010-0277.
Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hoffrage, Ulrich (1999). "Overcoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)". Psychological Review. American Psychological Association (APA). 106 (2): 425–430. doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.2.425. ISSN0033-295X.
Full ArticlePDF (649 KB)