代表性濃度路徑 (Chinese Wikipedia)

Analysis of information sources in references of the Wikipedia article "代表性濃度路徑" in Chinese language version.

refsWebsite

Global rank Chinese rank

17web.archive.org

1^st place

11ipcc.ch

1,778^th place

1,933^rd place

6doi.org

2^nd place

23^rd place

3climatechange2013.org

low place

2carbonbrief.org

low place

2worldcat.org

5^th place

12^th place

2semanticscholar.org

11^th place

332^nd place

2harvard.edu

18^th place

57^th place

2nih.gov

4^th place

5^th place

1ipcc-data.org

low place

1columbia.edu

488^th place

823^rd place

1springer.com

274^th place

320^th place

1osf.io

7,153^rd place

low place

1researchgate.net

120^th place

337^th place

1iiasa.ac.at

low place

1noaa.gov

212^th place

251^st place

1bbc.co.uk

8^th place

32^nd place

bbc.co.uk

BBC World Service - The Inquiry, Have our climate models been wrong?. BBC. [2020-03-05]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）（英国英语）.

carbonbrief.org

Explainer: How 'Shared Socioeconomic Pathways' explore future climate change. Carbon Brief. 2018-04-19 [2020-03-04]. （原始内容存档于2020-01-07）（英语）.
Explainer: How 'Shared Socioeconomic Pathways' explore future climate change. Carbon Brief. 2018-04-19 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档于2020-01-07）.

climatechange2013.org

Collins, M., et al.: Section 12.3.1.3 The New Concentration Driven RCP Scenarios, and their Extensions, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1045–1047
IPCC: Table SPM-2, in: Summary for Policymakers （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）
Collins, Matthew, et al.: Executive summary, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） (archived 2014-07-16), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1033

columbia.edu

sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu

Socio-Economic Data and Scenarios. [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.

doi.org

Meinshausen, Malte; Smith, S. J.; Calvin, K.; Daniel, J. S.; Kainuma, M. L. T.; Lamarque, J-F.; Matsumoto, K.; Montzka, S. A.; Raper, S. C. B.; Riahi, K.; Thomson, A.; Velders, G. J. M.; van Vuuren, D.P. P. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change. 2011, 109 (1–2): 213–241. ISSN 0165-0009. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z （英语）.
Ward, James D.; Mohr, Steve H.; Myers, Baden R.; Nel, William P. High estimates of supply constrained emissions scenarios for long-term climate risk assessment. Energy Policy. December 2012, 51: 598–604. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2012.09.003.
Pielke JR., Roger. Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C or warming by 2100. osf.io. 2021-04-10 [2021-04-26]. S2CID 241829692. doi:10.31235/osf.io/m4fdu . （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.
Höök M, Sivertsson A, Aleklett K. Validity of the Fossil Fuel Production Outlooks in the IPCC Emission Scenarios. Natural Resources Research. 2010-02-18, 19 (2): 63–81 [2021-10-10]. S2CID 14389093. doi:10.1007/s11053-010-9113-1. It is found that the SRES unnecessarily takes an overoptimistic stance and that future production expectations are leaning toward spectacular increases from present output levels. In summary, we can only encourage the IPCC to involve more resource experts and natural science in future emission scenarios.
Hausfather, Zeke; Peters, Glen. Emissions – the 'business as usual' story is misleading. Nature. 2020-01-29, 577 (7792): 618–20. Bibcode:2020Natur.577..618H. PMID 31996825. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3 .
Schwalm, Christopher R.; Glendon, Spencer; Duffy, Philip B. RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2020-08-18, 117 (33): 19656–19657. Bibcode:2020PNAS..11719656S. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 7443890 . PMID 32747549. doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117  （英语）.

harvard.edu

ui.adsabs.harvard.edu

Hausfather, Zeke; Peters, Glen. Emissions – the 'business as usual' story is misleading. Nature. 2020-01-29, 577 (7792): 618–20. Bibcode:2020Natur.577..618H. PMID 31996825. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3 .
Schwalm, Christopher R.; Glendon, Spencer; Duffy, Philip B. RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2020-08-18, 117 (33): 19656–19657. Bibcode:2020PNAS..11719656S. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 7443890 . PMID 32747549. doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117  （英语）.

iiasa.ac.at

webarchive.iiasa.ac.at

Laherrère, Jean. Estimates of Oil Reserves (PDF). EMF/IEA/IEW meeting. IIASA. 2001-06-10 [2021-10-10]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-10-29）. It is obvious that the IPCC assumptions for oil and gas are based on the assumption of abundant cheap oil and gas. This concept has to be revised.

ipcc-data.org

sedac.ipcc-data.org

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). IPCC. [2019-02-13]. （原始内容存档于2019-02-14）.

ipcc.ch

archive.ipcc.ch

Richard Moss; et al. Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies (PDF). Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2008: 132 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-11-26）.
Weyant, John; Azar, Christian; Kainuma, Mikiko; Kejun, Jiang; Nakicenovic, Nebojsa; Shukla, P.R.; La Rovere, Emilio; Yohe, Gary. Report of 2.6 Versus 2.9 Watts/m² RCPP Evaluation Panel (PDF). Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC Secretariat. April 2009 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-10-12）.
IPCC 2013: Technical Summary (PDF) (报告). the uncertainty is now estimated to be smaller than with the AR4 method for long-term climate change, because the carbon cycle–climate feedbacks are not relevant for the concentration-driven RCP projections ^{[失效連結]}
IPCC AR5- Technical Summary- TFE.7 Carbon Cycle Perturbation and Uncertainties (PDF) (报告). With very high confidence, ocean carbon uptake of anthropogenic CO2 emissions will continue under all four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) through to 2100, with higher uptake corresponding to higher concentration pathways. The future evolution of the land carbon uptake is much more uncertain, with a majority of models projecting a continued net carbon uptake under all RCPs, but with some models simulating a net loss of carbon by the land due to the combined effect of climate change and land use change. In view of the large spread of model results and incomplete process representation, there is low confidence on the magnitude of modelled future land carbon changes. ^{[失效連結]}

ar5-syr.ipcc.ch

https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） Box 2.2, figure 1
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） Box 2.2
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_summary.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） table SPM.1
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） 2.3.1

ipcc.ch

Collins, M., et al.: Section 12.3.1.3 The New Concentration Driven RCP Scenarios, and their Extensions, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1045–1047
IPCC: Table SPM-2, in: Summary for Policymakers （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）
Collins, Matthew, et al.: Executive summary, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） (archived 2014-07-16), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1033

nih.gov

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Hausfather, Zeke; Peters, Glen. Emissions – the 'business as usual' story is misleading. Nature. 2020-01-29, 577 (7792): 618–20. Bibcode:2020Natur.577..618H. PMID 31996825. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3 .
Schwalm, Christopher R.; Glendon, Spencer; Duffy, Philip B. RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2020-08-18, 117 (33): 19656–19657. Bibcode:2020PNAS..11719656S. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 7443890 . PMID 32747549. doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117  （英语）.

noaa.gov

sos.noaa.gov

Climate Model: Temperature Change (RCP 6.0) - 2006 - 2100. Science On a Sphere. [2022-05-30]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-10）（英语）.

osf.io

Pielke JR., Roger. Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C or warming by 2100. osf.io. 2021-04-10 [2021-04-26]. S2CID 241829692. doi:10.31235/osf.io/m4fdu . （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.

researchgate.net

Höök M, Sivertsson A, Aleklett K. Validity of the Fossil Fuel Production Outlooks in the IPCC Emission Scenarios. Natural Resources Research. 2010-02-18, 19 (2): 63–81 [2021-10-10]. S2CID 14389093. doi:10.1007/s11053-010-9113-1. It is found that the SRES unnecessarily takes an overoptimistic stance and that future production expectations are leaning toward spectacular increases from present output levels. In summary, we can only encourage the IPCC to involve more resource experts and natural science in future emission scenarios.

semanticscholar.org

api.semanticscholar.org

Pielke JR., Roger. Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C or warming by 2100. osf.io. 2021-04-10 [2021-04-26]. S2CID 241829692. doi:10.31235/osf.io/m4fdu . （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.
Höök M, Sivertsson A, Aleklett K. Validity of the Fossil Fuel Production Outlooks in the IPCC Emission Scenarios. Natural Resources Research. 2010-02-18, 19 (2): 63–81 [2021-10-10]. S2CID 14389093. doi:10.1007/s11053-010-9113-1. It is found that the SRES unnecessarily takes an overoptimistic stance and that future production expectations are leaning toward spectacular increases from present output levels. In summary, we can only encourage the IPCC to involve more resource experts and natural science in future emission scenarios.

springer.com

link.springer.com

Meinshausen, Malte; Smith, S. J.; Calvin, K.; Daniel, J. S.; Kainuma, M. L. T.; Lamarque, J-F.; Matsumoto, K.; Montzka, S. A.; Raper, S. C. B.; Riahi, K.; Thomson, A.; Velders, G. J. M.; van Vuuren, D.P. P. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change. 2011, 109 (1–2): 213–241. ISSN 0165-0009. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z （英语）.

web.archive.org

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). IPCC. [2019-02-13]. （原始内容存档于2019-02-14）.
Richard Moss; et al. Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies (PDF). Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2008: 132 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-11-26）.
Weyant, John; Azar, Christian; Kainuma, Mikiko; Kejun, Jiang; Nakicenovic, Nebojsa; Shukla, P.R.; La Rovere, Emilio; Yohe, Gary. Report of 2.6 Versus 2.9 Watts/m² RCPP Evaluation Panel (PDF). Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC Secretariat. April 2009 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-10-12）.
Explainer: How 'Shared Socioeconomic Pathways' explore future climate change. Carbon Brief. 2018-04-19 [2020-03-04]. （原始内容存档于2020-01-07）（英语）.
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） Box 2.2, figure 1
Socio-Economic Data and Scenarios. [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.
Explainer: How 'Shared Socioeconomic Pathways' explore future climate change. Carbon Brief. 2018-04-19 [2023-11-24]. （原始内容存档于2020-01-07）.
Collins, M., et al.: Section 12.3.1.3 The New Concentration Driven RCP Scenarios, and their Extensions, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1045–1047
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） Box 2.2
Pielke JR., Roger. Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C or warming by 2100. osf.io. 2021-04-10 [2021-04-26]. S2CID 241829692. doi:10.31235/osf.io/m4fdu . （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）.
Laherrère, Jean. Estimates of Oil Reserves (PDF). EMF/IEA/IEW meeting. IIASA. 2001-06-10 [2021-10-10]. （原始内容存档 (PDF)于2023-10-29）. It is obvious that the IPCC assumptions for oil and gas are based on the assumption of abundant cheap oil and gas. This concept has to be revised.
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_summary.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） table SPM.1
https://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_futurechanges.php （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） 2.3.1
Climate Model: Temperature Change (RCP 6.0) - 2006 - 2100. Science On a Sphere. [2022-05-30]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-10）（英语）.
BBC World Service - The Inquiry, Have our climate models been wrong?. BBC. [2020-03-05]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-29）（英国英语）.
IPCC: Table SPM-2, in: Summary for Policymakers （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）(archived ), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）
Collins, Matthew, et al.: Executive summary, in: Chapter 12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆） (archived 2014-07-16), in IPCC AR5 WG1 （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）, p. 1033

worldcat.org

Meinshausen, Malte; Smith, S. J.; Calvin, K.; Daniel, J. S.; Kainuma, M. L. T.; Lamarque, J-F.; Matsumoto, K.; Montzka, S. A.; Raper, S. C. B.; Riahi, K.; Thomson, A.; Velders, G. J. M.; van Vuuren, D.P. P. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change. 2011, 109 (1–2): 213–241. ISSN 0165-0009. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z （英语）.
Schwalm, Christopher R.; Glendon, Spencer; Duffy, Philip B. RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2020-08-18, 117 (33): 19656–19657. Bibcode:2020PNAS..11719656S. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 7443890 . PMID 32747549. doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117  （英语）.